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GCSE Geography · key term
An estimate of possible future climate conditions based on climate models and assumptions, such as a particular pathway of greenhouse gas emissions.
Used by Edexcel and OCR
Specification 8.4 · Paper 3
Revise: Climate Change ChallengesA climate projection is not an exact forecast for a particular day. It estimates possible future conditions under stated assumptions. There are several reasons why projections contain uncertainty.
Paper 1
A calculated possible future climate outcome based on stated assumptions, such as a particular pathway of greenhouse gas emissions.
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The following graphs use deliberately constructed values to demonstrate the method. They are not observed data or official climate projections, and both use 2020 as their baseline. Their values are therefore not directly interchangeable with the published estimates above.
Specification 2.1c · Paper 1, Paper 3
An estimate of possible future climate conditions based on climate models and assumptions such as future greenhouse gas emissions.