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OCR GCSE Geography B · J384
OCR J384 · 9.3 Statistical Techniques Check the specification (PDF) (opens in a new tab)
Geographers often collect many measurements, such as rainfall totals, river depths or pedestrian waiting times. A summary helps us compare datasets without listing every observation. Two different questions matter: what is typical, and how variable are the measurements?
Measures of central tendency describe a dataset’s centre. Measures of spread describe how widely its values vary. A typical value alone cannot tell us whether observations are closely clustered or very different from one another.
The mean shares the total equally between all observations:
The median is the middle of an ordered dataset. For an odd number of observations, select the single middle value. For an even number, find the mean of the two middle values. The mode is the most frequent value. A dataset can have more than one mode, or no uniquely most frequent value.
Consider a set of eight rainfall measurements, in millimetres, already arranged in order:
2, 3, 3, 4, 6, 6, 7, 9
Their total is 40 mm, so the mean is 5 mm. The middle values are 4 mm and 6 mm, giving a median of 5 mm. Both 3 mm and 6 mm occur twice, more often than any other value, so there are two modes.
The appropriate measure depends on what you want to show. The mean uses every numerical observation, but an unusually large or small value can pull it away from the main cluster. The median is less affected by extreme values, so it can better represent a typical observation when the data are unevenly distributed. The mode identifies the most common observation and can also summarise categories, such as the most common land use; numerical means cannot meaningfully average category names.
Sometimes measurements are summarised in intervals rather than recorded individually. The table below is a constructed illustration of waiting times for 40 pedestrians at a crossing. Here, is waiting time in seconds.
| Waiting time, (s) | Frequency | Cumulative frequency |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | |
| 8 | 12 |
Frequency is the number of observations in each interval. The modal class is seconds because it contains the most pedestrians: 16. This tells us the most common interval, not the most common exact waiting time. Grouping has hidden the individual measurements.
The range measures the distance from the smallest observation to the largest:
For the rainfall measurements, the range is mm. It is quick to calculate, but it depends only on the two extremes. One unusual observation can therefore make the range much larger.
Quartiles divide ordered data into four parts. The lower quartile, , marks approximately one-quarter of the observations; the marks halfway; and the upper quartile, , marks approximately three-quarters. The , or IQR, measures the width of the middle half:
To find quartiles from a list of individual values, first put them in order and divide them into lower and upper halves. For an even number of values, each half contains half the observations. For an odd number, leave the single middle value out of both halves. Find the median of the lower half for and the median of the upper half for .
For the rainfall data, the lower half is 2, 3, 3, 4, giving mm. The upper half is 6, 6, 7, 9, giving mm. The IQR is therefore mm.
Because it focuses on the middle 50%, the IQR is less affected by extreme observations than the range. A smaller IQR means the middle half of the measurements are more closely clustered. It does not mean that every observation is close to the median.
Cumulative frequency is a running total. In the waiting-time table, the first two frequencies add to 12. This means that 12 pedestrians waited less than 20 seconds. Adding the next frequency gives 28 pedestrians waiting less than 30 seconds. The final cumulative frequency is 40, the total number of observations.
To plot grouped continuous measurements, put waiting time on the horizontal axis and cumulative frequency on the vertical axis. Plot each cumulative total against its class’s upper boundary: for example, plot 12 against 20 seconds. The total for the entire interval has been reached at that boundary, not at its midpoint.
Add the starting point at the lowest class boundary with cumulative frequency zero. Join successive points with straight lines to make the graph below. A cumulative frequency graph cannot decrease: adding more observations cannot reduce the running total.
Constructed waiting-time data for 40 pedestrians, not fieldwork observations. Read across from cumulative frequencies 10, 20 and 30, then down to estimate the quartiles and median.
Data for Estimating median and quartiles from cumulative frequency
| Series | Waiting time (s) | Cumulative frequency (pedestrians) |
|---|---|---|
| Illustrative cumulative frequency | 0 | 0 |
| Illustrative cumulative frequency | 10 | 4 |
| Illustrative cumulative frequency | 20 | 12 |
| Illustrative cumulative frequency | 30 | 28 |
| Illustrative cumulative frequency | 40 | 36 |
| Illustrative cumulative frequency | 50 | 40 |
Let be the total number of observations. On a cumulative frequency graph, locate the lower quartile at , the at , and the upper quartile at on the vertical axis. From each position, move horizontally to the graph, then vertically down to read the measurement.
For the 40 waiting times, these cumulative frequencies are 10, 20 and 30. Reading the straight-line graph gives approximately:
The IQR is therefore about 15 seconds. This means the middle half of the waiting times extend from about 17.5 to 32.5 seconds. The median indicates that approximately half the pedestrians waited less than 25 seconds and half waited longer.
These readings are estimates, because the table does not show where individual observations fall within each interval. Straight lines treat the observations as evenly spread within each interval. The same plotting and reading method transfers to real grouped fieldwork data, but this constructed graph is not evidence about an actual crossing.
Use a measure of central tendency alongside a measure of spread. A lower median waiting time indicates a shorter typical wait; a smaller IQR indicates less variation among the middle half of waits. These are different conclusions. Two crossings could have the same median but quite different IQRs, so neither statistic should replace the other.
Put ungrouped values in order before finding the median. With an even number of values, average the two middle values.
Give the modal class as an interval, not its midpoint or frequency.
On a cumulative frequency graph, n/4, n/2 and 3n/4 are positions on the frequency axis. Read the corresponding measurement from the horizontal axis.
Keep units: the mean, median, range and inter-quartile range have the same units as the original measurements.
Support comparisons with both a measure of central tendency and a measure of spread.
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Measure of central tendency
A statistic describing the centre or typical value of a dataset, such as its mean, median or mode.
Mean
The sum of all numerical values divided by the number of values.
Median
The middle value when data are ordered; for an even number of values, the mean of the two middle values.
Mode
The value or category that occurs most frequently.
Modal class
The class interval with the highest frequency in a grouped frequency table.
Range
The difference between the largest and smallest values in a dataset.
Cumulative frequency
The running total of frequencies up to a particular value or class boundary.
Quartile
A boundary dividing ordered data into quarters. The lower quartile, , has approximately 25% of values below it; the upper quartile, , has approximately 75% below it. The median is the second quartile.
Inter-quartile range
The spread of the middle 50% of values, calculated as .
Put your knowledge into practice — try past paper questions for Geography B
Measure of central tendency
A statistic describing the centre or typical value of a dataset, such as its mean, median or mode.
Mean
The sum of all numerical values divided by the number of values.
Median
The middle value when data are ordered; for an even number of values, the mean of the two middle values.
Mode
The value or category that occurs most frequently.
Modal class
The class interval with the highest frequency in a grouped frequency table.
Range
The difference between the largest and smallest values in a dataset.
Cumulative frequency
The running total of frequencies up to a particular value or class boundary.
Quartile
A boundary dividing ordered data into quarters. The lower quartile, , has approximately 25% of values below it; the upper quartile, , has approximately 75% below it. The median is the second quartile.
Inter-quartile range
The spread of the middle 50% of values, calculated as .
| 16 | 28 |
| 8 | 36 |
| 4 | 40 |
For an ordered list, find as the median of the lower half and as the median of the upper half. Exclude the single middle value when the list has an odd number of observations.
The range uses the extremes; the IQR covers the middle 50% and is less affected by extremes.
Add frequencies successively to form a running total. Plot cumulative frequency vertically against upper class boundaries horizontally; begin at the lowest boundary with frequency zero.
For observations, read across to the graph and down from:
Readings from grouped data are estimates. Compare datasets using both a typical value and a measure of spread.